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Some people say a horse is only as good as its last run, and while that may be the case in some circumstances, at other times it can be deceiving. If you simply look at the figures and see that a horse finished 5th in its last outing you may think against backing it this time. This is a mistake often made by inexperienced punters.
Ideally you need to take a look at a video of the last run. Was the horse held up? It may not have found the space required on the run to the line. Was the ground to its liking? Some horses find it difficult when the ground is soft, others when the ground is too firm. Were the horses who finished in front of better quality? The horses in the race you are looking at might not be of the same class. These factors we will look at in more detail in the rest of this article.
Market Support
An indication of a horses chance of winning is whats odds are all about, but backing a favourite just because its favourite can be a mistake. What you need to do is decide, based on many factors, which horse or horses have been underestimated by the market. This can still be the favourite, not necessarily the horse at big odds. Some of the tips in this article will hopefully help you discover this.
Change of Class
In order for a horse to win it is often dropped into a class of horses which are lower than in previous races it has run. For example previously a horse may have run in a class 4 race and now be stepping back to a class 5.
Some horses will be stepping up in class and this is not always a bad thing. It may just mean the trainer thinks it can cope with the step up, but at other times it can be a step too far. You need to decide which is the case.
Change of Trip
Sometimes a horse may struggle over a certain distance and will be either dropped to a shorter distance or a longer distance. If a horse is dropped to a shorter trip than previously (lets say from 7 to 5 furlongs) because it couldn’t stay on at the longer distance. At a shorter distance it may perform better. Alternatively a horse may be stepped up (lets say from 5 to 7 furlongs) because it didn’t have the speed to win over 5 furlongs but has the staying power to perform well over the longer distance
The Course and Going
Different horses often perform better on different race courses. There are a number of reasons for this such as the ground, bend or lack of bend in the track etc. The only way to know is by checking out the previous form.
Another course factor as mentioned previously is the going. This means the amount of give in the ground. Some horses love the soft ground, other the firm and some are good performers on both. The only way to tell this is by looking at their previous races.
All weather courses are often favoured by certain horses which can struggle on the turf. This is yet another factor to consider.
Draw
Horses are drawn in stalls ranging from one to how ever many horses are in the race. On certain courses there can be a bias towards a certain draw. This means some draws yield more winners than others. Usually the draw only has an affect over short distances such as five to seven furlongs.
Some courses which have a bend between the start and the finish will favour the horses drawn on the inside of the track. These are usually low draws from stalls one to maybe stall four or five. There can also be draw bias on straight courses if one side of the course has faster ground, but courses these days are often watered to prevent this.
Trainer Form
How are the trainers other horses performing recently? If the trainer’s horses are on a losing streak you may want to think again. However, this is not a factor I would look too much into. Just because a few other horses have performed badly doesn’t mean the trainer has forgotten how to do his job
Jockey Form and Big Names
Although the horse does most of the work there is a job to be done by the jockey. They need to decided how fast the horse runs early on, when to make a spurt for home and guiding the horse through the traffic. Just like trainer’s, I wouldn’t look to heavily into this, the jockey still knows how to ride and winners soon come.
Look out for some of the big name jockey’s when picking a horse. However, don’t make the mistake of picking winners simply based on the jockey. Even the best jockeys only have around a 15-20% win rate during a season. As said previously, the horse does most of the work and the jockey just guides it. If your selection does have a good quality jockey on board its just another positive factor
Breeding
Horses are often bred from previous top class horses. This means the offspring should have the natural ability of their mother/father. However, thats all it is, they still need to be trained well, so form is a more accurate yard stick.
Handicapping
In handicap races horses are given extra weight based on their previous form. The idea is to give all horses in the race an equal chance of winning. The top horses are given extra weight to carry and therefore slows them down. The horse you are thinking of picking may have won his last race and will probably be given extra weight to carry. You need to decide if the horse can overcome this and still perform. Alternatively a horse may not have been performing as well recently and has been given much less weight than previously. You need to decide whether this weight difference can turn the horses fortunes around.
Misc.
Other things of note include time since last run. A horse may not have run for a year or two and should be backed with caution. Also some horses can run a few times in a couple of weeks. Most manage this ok but can tire.
Some horses are gelded since their previous run which can often make them focused on the task at hand and perform better. (for those who might not know, gelding is somethinig done to male horses which involves removing their testicles)
Horse racing is referred to as the “Sport of Kings” because that’s exactly what it was when it began thousands of years ago, the sport kings loved and participated in. An age-old tradition now, horse track betting has become just as popular as the sport itself. From all over the world, gamblers gather at tracks and off-track betting (OTB) sites to place their wagers on their favorites to win.
There is no single method that explains how to pick a winning horse. The basic four principles that are considered when picking a winner are usually condition, pace, speed, and class. Once you’ve analyzed these areas, you can choose the best type of bet to make. There are a combination of bets to be had, and wagers are typically required to fall between the minimum and maximum amounts allowed per race.
The easiest way to bet is on straight wagers. Straight wagers are Win, Place, and Show. These respectively equal first, second, and third place in the race. Horse wagering can be very lucrative, but winning isn’t all about picking the fastest horse. Sometimes, the money isn’t to be had from choosing the winner of the first place, but in picking the second and third place winners in the right order or in picking multiple winners in several races. These are known as exotic bets and they can often glean the gambler more than straight wagers. Sign up at VIPhorses today to try your hand at the exciting world of horse track betting.
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Paying Attention To The Jockey: Horse Racing Tips by Jane Hilton
Although it is the horse that does most of the work, the jockey, horse racing bettors know, is the brains of the pair. A great jockey, horse racing fans know, makes sure the horse is in the best position in all parts of the race in order to get that all important nose first under the wire. You first need to look at a horse’s past performance, and then get a close look at that horse’s jockey. Horse racing is a mostly unpredictable sport, but one rule follows: a good jockey in horse racing can bring a three-legged mule to the winner’s circle.
Past Performance On That Track
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Just like a horse can prefer a certain track, so can an individual jockey. Horse racing bettors need to look at how that jockey has done at that particular track. Although all tracks may look alike, they look a lot different from the back of a hyper Thoroughbred going 40 mph.
A good jockey, horse racing railbirds know, is one that has ridden on that track at least once before. This lets the jockey know where the dips are, how sharp the turns are and what patches of the track get the most water-logged. A great jockey, horse racing fans know, has a mental encyclopedia of how best to ride each track. If a jockey has a streak at a particular track, don’t ignore it. He or she knows that track well.
What If No Jockey Is Listed?
The form, whether in print or online, is often made up over 24 hours before the race. In that time, changes can happen to the jockey. Horse racing is unpredictable, so you may find a horse without a jockey listed. Generally, you ignore this horse, unless he or she is clearly the class of the field and has a good jockey. Horse racing may be the sport of kings, but you don’t have to be one in order to bet. Remember, you don’t have to bet every race.
Horse racing tips – Place your bet on losing horses by by Nathan Mackenzie
Who says only winning is profitable? In today’s day and age, one can increase his profits by putting money on a horse that has the greatest odds of losing a race. This completely reverse form of horse handicapping is known as lay betting and is proving to be quite popular with each passing day. One can make the most of horse racing tips and put money on the oldest and the slowest horse amongst the herd. The worst horses are handicapped with the horse racing tips being based on a horse’s worst performance, figures, and other statistics.
The horse racing tips can be based on the information provided in the horse racing forms that are available in news stands as well as on the Internet. One can make informed guesses based on the past figures and statistics that are provided in these forms. The results of the races that have already taken place have to be analysed to arrive at the betting handicaps. The idea in lay betting is to arrive at the slowest of all the horses.
One can find the horse racing tips online and use the same to arrive at the horse with the highest probability of losing. It is no use wishing for a miracle as many a time the reverse can also happen. The horse with the least likelihood of winning can go ahead and win the race. In such an instance, the person would be losing cash rather than earning any. However, one could say that such strange occurrences are rare and not that common. It is wise not to discount the capability of the horses and depend on the horse racing tips completely. However, the horse race betting tips are fairly accurate and could be of significant aid to the players placing the bets in most instances.
There are many experts that have come up in recent times and many of them are offering horse racing tips for betting on a horse to lose. This method has lower risk as compared to the one where money is placed on a winner and is finding a lot of takers. Many people are making the most of these tips and betting on losing horses to earn money. An interested person can become a member of these clubs and benefit from the horse racing tips that are being issued. Many of these expert sites come with a wide database that clubs together the horse racing results in the UK for the last ten years, making them that much more dependable. Most of the horse races in the UK are accounted for in these databases and the expert knowledge is shared with the members of these sites.
So, all you people out there who want to make the most of the horse racing tips and earn money in the process can benefit a lot from the services being offered.
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What Does Handicapping mean in Horse Racing? by Gen Wright
Handicapping is one of the fundamentals in horseracing. If you want to be able to bet on a horse for any other reason than you like the name of the horse, fancy the jockey, or like the colour of his outfit then maybe it’s best if you learn a little about handicapping!
All horse races fall into one of two categories – a handicap race or a conditions race, with handicap races far outweighing conditions races at most events.
A handicap is a race where each horse is allocated a different weight according to ability so in theory each horse has an equal chance of winning. The British Horseracing Board (BHB) have handicappers who produce an official rating (the horse’s ‘mark’) for each horse in the UK who qualifies to run in a handicap race. This mark that the handicappers give the horse will be on a sliding scale between 0 and 120. Zero marks would basically be a crippled horse ? while three year old horses at the top of the scale would be the horses entering races such as the Derby.
Sometimes horses do run ‘out of handicap’ which means that the horse will be running in the race at a disadvantage – the trainer will be aware of this, but will still believe that his horse has a chance of winning.
The evaluations are made on a weekly basis and their results stored on computer by Weatherbys, who are horseracings main administrative body, and each time a horse runs in a race it must be decided by the handicapper whether to adjust his rating depending on a good or a bad performance.
While this all sounds confusing, and to be fair, it must be a lot of hard work for the handicappers and Weatherbys, it all basically means: the higher the horses rating, the better he is. However this could also mean that if you are betting on the horse with the highest (best) handicap, you could be betting on the heaviest horse in the race, as each point in the scale is equivalent to one pound (lb) in weight. This means that, for example, a horse with a rating of 45 will carry 10lbs less than a horse in the same race which is rated at 55, and a horse that had been rated 119 on the scale would be 4lbs better than a horse rated 115 by the handicappers. A perfectly handicapped race would be one where all horses crossed the finishing line at exactly the same time, which as we all know doesn’t happen – but it does make things as fair as possible.
There is also a ‘weight-for-age’ adjustment when horses of differing ages compete against each other in a race, as horses grow through the ages of 3, 4 and 5 years.
Handicaps have different levels, races being classed as A, B, C, D, E, F or G with A being the highest class handicaps and G the bottom class, and the horses official mark will determine which class of race he can be entered into.
How can you win at the horse track? by Thomas Burkett
The answer isn’t as simple as it sounds. The horse track takes over 20 percent of every dollar paid into the pools. This vig is difficult to overcome. However, a sound money management system can help you overcome this massive vigor. In fact without a sound , it is impossible to overcome the juice. The following stanzas will describe a foolproof money management system that will reliably prevent the major obstacles of profit.
The Down 20 System
Put simply, the down 20 system originates from the notion that you are down 20 dollar as soon as you walk through the gate. Your only goal is to break even. So, prior to betting on your first race, you will make a journal entry that suggests you are down 20 dollars.
Next, you handicap the first race and locate a 4-1 horse that you think has a chance of winning. At this point, you need to win 20 dollars to get to even. So, you need to bet 5 dollars on this horse to win (20/4)=5. You then place 5 dollars on this horse to win, and he fails to do so. You now add the 5 dollar loss to the ledger add that to the previous 20 dollars and you find yourself needing to recoup 25 dollars in losses.
Now you handicap the 2nd race and fall in love with a 2-1 favorite. To recover the 25 dollar carryover, you place a bet of 13 dollars ((25/2)=12.5). Again this horse fails to win falling in a photo finish by a neck. You must then add the 13 dollar loss to the ledger and roll the entire 38 dollars to the next race.
After handicapping the 3rd race you find a 6-1 horse that you think should win the race. Needing to recover 38 dollars, you place a 7 dollar wager on the horse (38/6 = 6.333). For the third time on the evening you have selected a losing horse and you now find yourself needing to recover 45 dollars from the down 20 system.
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In the 4th race you find a 4/5 favorite that you know will win the race. He has drawn the inside post and has won 4 in a row. You place a wager of 57 dollars on this horse to win in order to recover the 45 dollars you are down. (45 * 5/4 = 56.25). The horse again loses. So, you need to recover 102 dollars in order to satisfy the down 20 system.
In the 5th race you are frustrated. You need to recover 102 dollars. Some will desire to start over or leave or give up on the system at this point. You should set a loss limit for the day. And never bet more than you can easily lose; however, you are actually only in the hole for 82 dollars. Also, you might want to stay away from less than even money favorites. Their loss can seriously injure bankroll. However, it is this race that I find a 3-1 favorite that I feel should win. I place a 34 dollar win bet on this horse. I am paid off 158.20 for the win. I then start over being down 20 and hit two more
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